Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.799734 2.993277 3.200101 3.438701 3.707815 4.003679 4.355957
2026-01-18 2.541158 2.811493 3.117583 3.494156 3.951209 4.496538 5.210176
2026-01-25 2.583039 2.941903 3.369094 3.926191 4.651367 5.591393 6.954909
2026-02-01 2.351044 2.715757 3.160798 3.758722 4.566519 5.663051 7.353207
2026-02-08 2.154991 2.514679 2.961542 3.575279 4.428078 5.628010 7.570813
2026-02-15 2.046040 2.413289 2.878361 3.532526 4.470212 5.844516 8.202705
2026-02-22 1.938136 2.305150 2.776939 3.453259 4.447457 5.954915 8.674826
2026-03-01 1.828099 2.187564 2.654765 3.334023 4.351750 5.935841 8.910672
2026-03-08 1.719016 2.065819 2.520063 3.187121 4.200312 5.807711 8.917769
2026-03-15 1.669360 2.020521 2.486501 3.182519 4.264841 6.040290 9.665602
2026-03-22 1.619947 1.972924 2.446675 3.165012 4.305871 6.235680 10.383585
2026-03-29 1.576618 1.931464 2.412905 3.153515 4.354202 6.448222 11.193798
2026-04-05 1.533866 1.893962 2.389711 3.167523 4.465102 6.828838 12.625969
2026-04-12 1.503848 1.873340 2.390460 3.220306 4.651704 7.399938 14.859863
2026-04-19 1.561848 1.979291 2.582749 3.596225 5.470743 9.513769 23.656237
2026-04-26 1.483284 1.884248 2.466539 3.450877 5.290361 9.329824 24.087974
2026-05-03 1.406501 1.789070 2.346048 3.291004 5.067042 9.006748 23.764821
2026-05-10 1.364274 1.742972 2.298942 3.253647 5.082988 9.283516 26.482363
2026-05-17 1.317430 1.688267 2.235887 3.184283 5.026692 9.364727 28.381218
2026-05-24 1.265299 1.624029 2.155382 3.079698 4.888358 9.204237 28.850904
2026-05-31 1.210200 1.553886 2.063320 2.950433 4.689264 8.851717 27.973393
2026-06-07 1.186291 1.529570 2.042512 2.946376 4.752900 9.239176 32.239045
2026-06-14 1.161227 1.502643 2.016355 2.930938 4.790499 9.563856 36.788306